CONVECTIVE FORECAST - UPDATE
VALID 14Z WED 07/07 - 06Z THU 08/07 2004
ISSUED: 07/07 14:09Z
FORECASTER: GROENEMEIJER

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms forecast across much of France, eastern Spain, the Alps, Italy, the Benelux and parts of Germany

General thunderstorms are forecast across much of western and southwestern Europe and the northern Balkans as well as eastern Europe

SYNOPSIS

See convective forecast...

DISCUSSION

...northeastern Spain, southeastern France, Switzerland...
It seems as though the air-mass that is advected northward through the Rhone Valley is rather dry. This implies that low latent instability will be present and a low coverage of storms can be expected. Therefore a moderate risk category seems not to be warranted.

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